Aurora alert: Strong geomagnetic storm could spark northern lights at mid-latitudes across US and Europe

Northern lights erupt over a lake in Minnesota in a dark sky overhead shining rainbow of Aurora light as the sun sets on the horizon
Northern lights over a lake in Minnesota, U.S. (Image credit: Rob Schultz via Getty Images)

Strong solar activity has prompted the National Oceanic and Atmospheric (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) to issue a geomagnetic storm warning for July 30 through Aug. 1. 

If the predicted G3 conditions are reached, auroras could be visible across mid-latitudes around 50°. Previous geomagnetic storms at this magnitude have triggered auroras as low as Illinois and Oregon, according to NOAA SPWC.

The first of several incoming coronal mass ejections (CMEs) struck Earth's magnetic field on July 29 at 8:27 p.m. EDT (0027 on July 30), sparking a minor geomagnetic storm.

We've rounded up some of the best photos from across the U.S. and Canada here in our image story. 

"This is an auspicious start to the multiple storm train we are expecting over the next few days," space weather physicist Tamitha Skov wrote in a post on X in response to a post from NWS Riverton about auroras spotted as far south as Wyoming, U.S. during the solar storm.

The culprit? A series of powerful M-class solar flares released from the sun over the weekend were accompanied by several plumes of plasma and magnetic field known as coronal mass ejections (CMEs). And Earth is in the firing line. 

The first two CMEs released merged and formed what is known as a "cannibal CME" which is effectively clearing a path for at least two additional CMEs that are trailing behind it, according to Spaceweather.com. The arrival window for the CMEs is predicted for July 30 through to early Aug. 1, but there is a level of uncertainty about the exact timings.

CMEs carry electrically charged atoms called ions. When CMEs collide with Earth's magnetosphere, they can trigger geomagnetic storms. During these storms, the ions interact with gases in Earth's atmosphere, releasing energy as light. This phenomenon is known as the northern lights, or aurora borealis, in the Northern Hemisphere, and the southern lights, or aurora australis, in the Southern Hemisphere.

Geomagnetic storms are classified by NOAA using a G-scale to measure the intensity of geomagnetic storms. They range from G5, the most extreme class to G1 minor class storms. The recent geomagnetic storm watch issued by NOAA is currently classified as a G3-class for July 30, with G2 periods expected on July 31. 

When will the geomagnetic storm occur?  

Current forecasts predict G3 geomagnetic storm conditions may arrive on July 30, though the exact timings are uncertain. Minor G1 conditions were reached when an early CME hit Earth's magnetic field on July 29 at 8:27 p.m. EDT (0027 on July 30).

Similar to Earth's weather, space weather is unpredictable and challenging to forecast. While geomagnetic storm warnings of this level are uncommon, they can still sometimes fizzle to nothing. 

Sara Housseal, a space weather forecaster, took to X to convey the importance of taking any timings very lightly. 

"With numerous CMEs in play, it is extremely difficult (if not impossible) to determine specifics with timing," Housseal wrote. 

As we approach July 30, space weather forecasters will better understand whether and when to expect the CME's arrival.

If you want to keep a watchful eye on the space weather conditions and know when (and where) to look out for auroras, I recommend downloading a space weather app that will let you know the predicted conditions based on your location. I use an app called "My Aurora Forecast & Alerts" available on iOS and Android. But any similar app should do the job. I then couple this with the Space Weather Live app available on iOS and Android. This app is great as it gives you more of an insight into whether the space weather conditions are looking promising for aurora activity.

How could this event compare to May's auroras?  

The Aurora Australis, also known as the Southern Lights, glow orange and red on the horizon over waters of Lake Ellesmere on the outskirts of Christchurch on May 11, 2024 in this photo by AFP and Getty photographer Sanka Vidanagama. (Image credit: SANKA VIDANAGAMA/AFP via Getty Images)

Though the upcoming solar storm may not be as intense as May's solar storm that sparked global auroras, it could still put on quite the show. 

"It may not be as intense as the Gannon Storm back on May 10, but this compression of multiple back-to-back storms has at least G3 if not G4-level potential," Skov wrote in a post on X. 

Only time will tell as to whether this G3 storm prediction manifests into anything close to the May superstorm.

So for now, keep your eyes fixed on the current space weather forecasts and make sure those camera batteries are charged! 

Reports of northern lights across North America are already appearing on X. 

Editor's note: This story was updated on July 30 at 4:30 a.m. EDT (0830 GMT) to include details of the first CME arrival and a comment from Tamitha Skov's post on X relating to auroras spotted as far south as Wyoming. Additional X posts showing last night's auroras (July 29/30) were added to the end of the story.

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Daisy Dobrijevic
Reference Editor

Daisy Dobrijevic joined Space.com in February 2022 having previously worked for our sister publication All About Space magazine as a staff writer. Before joining us, Daisy completed an editorial internship with the BBC Sky at Night Magazine and worked at the National Space Centre in Leicester, U.K., where she enjoyed communicating space science to the public. In 2021, Daisy completed a PhD in plant physiology and also holds a Master's in Environmental Science, she is currently based in Nottingham, U.K. Daisy is passionate about all things space, with a penchant for solar activity and space weather. She has a strong interest in astrotourism and loves nothing more than a good northern lights chase!