SPACE.com Columnist Leonard David

'First tree on Mars:' Scientists measure greenhouse effect needed to terraform Red Planet

Artist's illustration depicting the terraforming of Mars — turning into a more Earth-like world.
Artist's illustration depicting the terraforming of Mars — turning into a more Earth-like world. (Image credit: Daein Ballard, CC BY-SA)

What is the amount of greenhouse warming required to heat up the cold climes of Mars enough so that trees can grow on the Red Planet?

New research points to how much you’ve got to jack up the carbon dioxide (CO2) on Mars to support plant growth, to raise the planet’s temperatures just enough for trees to grow.

Surprisingly, the conditions that would allow plant growth on the Red Planet do not occur first in the "tropics" of the planet.

Energy balance

This futuristic plant growing scenario is led by Robert Olszewski, a professor at Warsaw University of Technology in Poland. He and research associates have led a look at the surface energy balance at Mars, such as the diffusive exchange of heat between carbon dioxide condensation and evaporation, heat exchange with the subsurface, and the transport of heat by atmospheric circulation.

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Map of Mars with the tropics (±25°) shaded. With sufficient greenhouse warming, the first tree on Mars grows outside the tropics in Hellas Basin. (Image credit: Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter (MOLA) data/Olszewski, et al.)

"Surprisingly, the conditions that allow plant growth do not occur first within the tropics (±25°) but in the Hellas Basin region. A further increase in the greenhouse effect expands the area suitable for plant growth in the southern hemisphere," a new research paper explains.

Using in part Viking Mars lander temperature and pressure datasets gleaned in the 1970s, Olszewski and research team members have simulated a variety of processes on Mars, both at present and in past/future epochs.

NASA Viking missions to Mars of the 1970s. (Image credit: NASA)

"Here, we use the baseline model to investigate the greenhouse effect caused by an increase in CO2 plus artificial greenhouse warming," Olszewski notes in a paper presented at an "Astrobiology and the Future of Life Meeting" held recently at the Lunar and Planetary Institute in Houston, Texas.

Pressure cooker

Olszewski and colleagues assessed the total pressure on Mars needed, the high percentage of acceptable CO2, the O2 needed, amount of water available, and the range of temperatures necessary for tree growth.

Mosaic of the Valles Marineris hemisphere of Mars composed of 102 Viking Orbiter images of this huge feature on the Red Planet. (Image credit: NASA/USGS/Viking Project)

The atmospheric conditions existing on Mars today make the existence of life impossible,” Olszewski points out. “The requirements for plant growth on Mars have been considered in the context of terraforming and for low-pressure greenhouses.”

The research focused on temperature "as this is the fundamental environmental variable that changes during terraforming and it controls the CO2 cycle and the formation of liquid water," Olszewski adds. Oxygen levels in a thick warmer atmosphere remain an important separate concern.

Growing season

"Focusing on the temperature, it must be several tens of degrees higher, while the diurnal fluctuations should be much lower. For the growth of trees, the growing season must last at least 110 sols (Martian days)," the research shows, given a certain minimum temperature, average temperature, and maximum temperature that could be reached on the Red Planet.

Olszewski and research colleagues point out that, on Earth , the highest elevation treelines are primarily found in the tropics – but modulated by the location of the thermal equator. "Thus, it may be expected that equatorial regions of Mars would be the location of the first tree."

A future Mars protected from the direct solar wind should come to a new equilibrium allowing an extensive atmosphere to support liquid water on its surface. (Image credit: Daein Ballard, CC BY-SA)

But due to Mars’ relatively large orbital eccentricity, the southern hemisphere, which has summer near perihelion, has relatively warm summers, the researchers observe. In addition, the orbital period of Mars is 1.9 Earth years.

Therefore, the long warm southern summer provides the first growing season suitable for trees," Olszewski reports. "Specifically, we find that the low elevation of the Hellas Basin allows the creation of the first conditions favorable to tree growth," the researchers conclude.

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Leonard David
Space Insider Columnist

Leonard David is an award-winning space journalist who has been reporting on space activities for more than 50 years. Currently writing as Space.com's Space Insider Columnist among his other projects, Leonard has authored numerous books on space exploration, Mars missions and more, with his latest being "Moon Rush: The New Space Race" published in 2019 by National Geographic. He also wrote "Mars: Our Future on the Red Planet" released in 2016 by National Geographic. Leonard  has served as a correspondent for SpaceNews, Scientific American and Aerospace America for the AIAA. He has received many awards, including the first Ordway Award for Sustained Excellence in Spaceflight History in 2015 at the AAS Wernher von Braun Memorial Symposium. You can find out Leonard's latest project at his website and on Twitter.

  • Unclear Engineer
    Maybe the authors of this article should read this previous article: https://www.space.com/31044-mars-terraforming-nasa-maven-mission.html , which says the CO2 just isn't there in sufficient quantities to terraform Mars, because it was swept away by the solar wind billions of years ago. So, even if we somehow find more CO2 than currently expected and try to get it into the Martian atmosphere, would we be able to get it in faster than the Sun takes it out? And, if we could achieve that, how long would it last?
    Reply
  • Pamunkey
    Mars has no magnetic field so the surface of the planet is not only continuously bombarded with deadly radiation, it cannot hold anything beyond an extremely thin atmosphere. If this problem could not be overcome then discussion of growing the first tree is putting the cart before the horse.
    Reply
  • Classical Motion
    It might take an M field to produce and maintain an ionization layer for a contained atmosphere.

    But it would take much more than an atmosphere to accommodate a tree. It needs certain inorganic and organic compounds, plus a biofilm in that density to convert, condition and transport the needed nutrients.

    One needs a living world for a tree. I doubt many lifeforms can survive a non living world. Life is a large living flux. Discreet, but dependent.
    Reply